Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Predicting the Unpredictable


It's Awards Week, y'all!

I was going to start these posts on Monday, but of course I went out of town and then spent yesterday telling you all about it. So my Awards Week has now been compressed into Awards Three Days.

But, I'm sure you aren't all that worried about it, so I'm not either.

Today, I'm sharing some thoughts on all those technical and musical and writerly awards. The ones that I always seem to have such a hard time predicting because I just don't know enough about some of those categories. But they're fun to try to guess at anyway. So I'm gonna.

Here are the nominees. My picks are in green.

Art Direction
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Warhorse

There are some really good competitors here, and I'd love to see the award go to Midnight in Paris for it's beautiful portrayal of 1920s Paris, but I think Hugo's got this one.

Cinematography
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
Warhorse

I'm actually going to be shocked if Terrence Malick's film doesn't win. Even when people don't love his films, there is never a question that they are visually stunning.

Documentary Feature
Hell and Back Again
If a Tree Falls: The Story of the Earth Liberation Front
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Pina
Undefeated

I haven't seen any of these and don't know what any of them are about. So your guess is as good as mine.

Documentary Short Subject
The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement
God is the Bigger Elvis
Incident in New Baghdad
Saving Face
The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom

I haven't got a clue. I'm guessing based on titles only...

Film Editing
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo 
Moneyball

I have a feeling Hugo is going to win a lot of technical awards, but not the big prizes.

Foreign Language Film
Bullhead, Belgium
Footnote, Israel
In Darkness, Poland
Monsier Lazhar, Canada
A Separation, Iran

A Separation won the Golden Globe and a bunch of other awards. I'll be kind of surprised if it doesn't win the Oscar, too. Besides, it's the only foreign film to also be nominated in another category.

Makeup
Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
The Iron Lady

They make Glenn Close look like an unattractive man. There's really no competition here.

Music (Original Score)
The Adventures of TinTin, John Williams
The Artist, Ludovic Bource
Hugo, Howard Shore
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Alberto Iglesias
War Horse, John Williams

I love John Williams and Howard Shore, but I'm going with Bource on this one since The Artist's silence relies so much on music to convey the story.

Music (Original Song)
"Man or Muppet" from The Muppets
"Real in Rio" from Rio

I really don't understand what happened to this category this year. Only 2 songs? Weird. And I really thought there had been a third, so I'm even more confused. But I'm going with the Muppets and I really hope Jason Segal gets to sing it on Sunday!

Short Film (Animated)
Dimanche/Sunday
The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
La Luna
A Morning Stroll
Wild Life

If it's not Wallace and Grommit, I never have any idea.

Short Film (Live Action)
Pentecost 
Raju
The Shore
Time Freak
Tuba Atlantic

I just picked one.

Sound Editing
Drive
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

As much as I'd like to see one of Ryan Gosling's movies win SOMETHING this year, war movies usually do well in this category.

Sound Mixing
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Again with the war movies.

Visual Effects
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Real Steel
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon

This is actually an interesting category this year. And I would really like to see Harry Potter win. But with Hugo being a Best Picture nominee, I think that bodes better for it's chances here.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
The Descendants
Hugo
The Ides of March
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Considering that it's pretty commonly believed that the Best Picture race is really between The Artist and The Descendants, I'm pretty sure The Descendants is going to get this one.

Writing (Original Screenplay)
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Margin Call
Midnight in Paris
A Separation

I enjoyed Bridesmaids and all, but I still can't believe it was nominated for a writing award. Seriously. The Academy loves Woody Allen. Midnight in Paris is a fantastic film. I think Woody's got this one locked up.

So...what are your thoughts? How many of these movies have you seen? Any favorites?


And come back tomorrow when we'll be chatting about the acting awards.

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9 comments:

  1. I took some Oscar questionnaire. Anything that wasn't an actor, director or picture of the year and if Hugo was an option I went with that. I figured Scorsesee is a safe bet. :)

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  2. Last year I saw all 10 films nominated for Best Picture. This year, I haven't seen any (I don't think). The year just got away from me, but I'm still excited for the show!!

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  3. Oh my gosh, are the Oscars this week? Wow. Where has the time gone?

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  4. Visual Effects - everything else I've read said that if Planet of the Apes doesn't win, it will be a crime. And that is definitely my selection as well.

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  5. I've seen two of these movies. And none of the ones you think might win. These posts make me miss watching movies so much.

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  6. I've seen practically nothing. Boo. I am lame.

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  7. I haven't seen many of the films that are up for nominations, with the exception of The Help (and I hope they at least win some of the awards!)

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  8. Bridesmaids was funny, but it definitely didn't live up to the hype for me. I've seen funnier.

    Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory is about the West Memphis 3 murders which took place close to home. They've been running it on HBO a lot. It's good, but not necessarily worthy of an Oscar. And Undefeated is about a high school football team in Memphis. An amazing coach is turning around the program and helping kids who are growing up in bad homes turn their lives around. I would love for either of these to win one for the home team. :)

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  9. I don't know anything about the movies/categories but I love Wallace and Grommit!

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